Lithuania-Russia Tensions: RIA Novosti pulled a pro-“short” military action column against Lithuania after it warned Vilnius could “disappear” following Lithuania’s move to lift nuclear-basing limits, as President Gitanas Nausėda said Russia is getting “more reckless” with drones and sabotage. Defense Industry Under Fire: Ukraine’s General Staff says it struck three Russian missile-linked enterprises—Iskra (Ulyanovsk), Yefremov Synthetic Rubber (Tula) and Voronezhsintezkauchuk (Voronezh)—targeting components and solid rocket fuel. Air War Escalation: Russia’s jet-powered Shahed/Geran-5 push is forcing Ukraine to intercept more often, while daytime Kyiv strikes killed five and injured dozens, including after a barrage hit a high-rise. Energy & Refining Pressure: Ukraine-linked strikes reportedly suspended Russia’s Novoshakhtinsk refinery, and hit Lukoil-Perm and other industrial sites, keeping diesel and refinery capacity in focus. Sanctions & Shipping: Russia reflagged 107 “shadow fleet” tankers to its flag since Jan 2025, boosting its sanctioned fleet and oil deliveries despite Western pressure. Diplomacy & Talks: Zelensky says Trump approved a license for Ukraine to manufacture Patriot missiles and proposes technical-level trilateral talks in the UAE, while urging China to pressure Moscow. Baltic Grain Controls: Latvia tightened checks on grain transit to stop crops stolen from occupied Ukraine being relabeled as Russian-origin. EU Trade Dispute: WTO set up a CBAM dispute panel for Russia, reviving the carbon border fight with the EU. Defense Supply Chains: Research claims most component suppliers for Russia’s Molniya drones are not yet US/UK sanctioned, highlighting ongoing procurement gaps.